( MENAFN Editorial )
For 2015 BMI maintains its cautious outlook on Chile's freight transport sector and the economy as a whole largely on the back of the sl owdown in Chinese growth and that country's demand for copper. D eteriorating investor sentiment and an ongoing slowdown in private consumption will also affect Chile's outlook for 2015 although stronger government consumption should help support growth.
Considerable investment in the expansion of Chile's ports supports our positive outlook for ports infrastructure and the wider construction industry. In the near term we expect the port of San Antonio now the country's largest port to continue to outperform the port of Valparaiso. The former is expected to continue its solid pace of growth registering growth in container throughput of almost 10% between 2015 and 2019.
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We also maintain our positive outlook for Chile's construction industry on the back of an investor-friendly business environment political stability and a strong pipeline of projects. This should bode well for the freight infrastructure developments in the pipeline across Chile.
A stable political outlook and sound economic fundamentals position Chile for steady albeit slower economic progress underpinning our view that the country will have achieved developed state status by 2023. While obstacles such as high reliance on copper exports and oil imports continue to pose a risk to economic progress especially in light of what we see as a long-term downturn in Chinese demand for Chilean copper we remain optimistic about Chile's economic potential. Diversification away from commodity exports and further development of regional and south-to-south trade will provide an important platform for growth.
In the longer term lower copper prices will put renewed importance on shifting away from export- and investment-led growth to a more diversified economic growth trajectory one that is more reliant on private consumption. If private consumption...
The Chile Freight Transport Report has been researched at source and features latest-available data covering commercial transport and logistics by road rail air and water; industry forecasts company rankings covering leading national and multinational operators; and analysis of latest industry trends opportunities projects and regulatory changes.
BMI Research's Chile Freight Transport Report provides industry professionals and strategists sector analysts investors trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Chilean freight transport and logistics industry.
* Benchmark BMI's independent freight transport industry forecasts on Chile to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the strategic freight transport market.
* Target business opportunities and risks in the Chilean freight transport sector through our reviews of latest industry trends regulatory changes and major deals projects and investments in Chile.
* Assess the activities strategy and market position of your competitors partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs KPIs and latest activity).
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts views and trend analysis covering freight transport and logistics regulatory changes major investments and projects and significant national and multinational company developments.
Industry SWOT Analysis
Analysis of the major strengths weaknesses opportunities and threats within the freight transport sector and within the broader political economic and business environment.
BMI Industry Forecasts
Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2019 for all key industry and economic indicators (see list below) supported by explicit assumptions plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast including:
* Transport Sector: Total freight carried by road rail inland waterways maritime air and pipeline (mn tonnes-km/mn tonnes).
* Trade: Exports and imports (USDmn) by category of goods (manufactured goods food chemicals etc.); top five import and export trade partners (USDmn); imports/exports to each global region (USDmn)
* Port Data: Throughput (‘000 tonnes) for all major ports in the state.
* Oil Products Prices: Price forecasts for gasoline and aviation fuel (USD/bbl) at all major global energy trading hubs.
* Economic Indicators: Nominal GDP (USDbn); real GDP growth (%); GDP per capita (USD); industrial production (%); unemployment (%)
Details of the freight infrastructure in each state by segment (road rail air water and pipelines). Full analysis of the competitive landscape within each segment.
Industry Trends and Developments
Analysis of the latest projects across the freight transport sector (road rail air sea and logistics) including a market overview which provides an outline of the key elements driving development.
The Freight Transport market reports contain a chapter detailing the political outlook of a given region examining the domestic politics long-term outlook and foreign policy and assessing the impact this could have on freight and transport businesses.
Examines the short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate company SWOT analyses.
The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.
The Freight Transport reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources such as multilateral organisations government departments industry associations chambers and company reports
*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.
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