(MENAFNEditorial)
We maintain our bright outlook for Peru's power sector and we expect total power generation to grow by an average annual rate of 4.96% between 2015 and 2024. The energy-intensive mining sector a sound business environment and an expanding cons umer base will continue to drive economic growth in Peru - and by extension fast power consumption growth . The e xpansion in electricity generation will be provided primarily by hydropower and thermal (particularly natural gas-fired) capacity as the government's focus on renewables remains limited . D elays to project implementatio n remain the biggest threat to our upbeat growth forecast s for this market .
Our 10-year outlook for Peru's power sector is bright with total electricity generation to grow from 45.6 terawatt hour (TWh) in 2015 to 70.1TWh in 2024. Notwithstanding the headwinds that have affected the Peruvian economy of late our Country Risk team still expects Peru's real GDP to expand by an average annual rate of 4.5% through 2024. Faster economic activity will be driven by an expanding middle class and continued investment in the energy-intensive mining sector (the industry reportedly received total investment of USD 8.4bn in 2014). These factors will bring about strong growth in Peru's power needs and we forecasts that total electricity consumption will expand by an average annual rate of 5.37% over the next decade.
Full Report Details at
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Bolstered by a solid regulatory environment Peru will remain one of the most attractive power markets in Latin America over the coming decade and will offer significant investment opportunities in new generating capacity and power transmission and distribution (T&D) infrastructure. However we have tempered our forecasts for power generation and installed capacity due to below-expectation projections for the thermal and renewables sector in the government's 2014-2025 Energy Plan. As such we forecast total power generation and capacity to grow by...
The Peru Power Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and independent forecasts covering electricity generation (coal gas oil nuclear hydro and non-hydro renewables) electricity consumption trade transmission and distribution losses and electricity generating capacity.
The Peru Power Report also analyses the impact of regulatory changes recent developments and the background macroeconomic outlook and features competitive landscapes comparing national and multinational operators by sales market share investments projects partners and expansion strategies.
Key Benefits
* Use BMI's independent industry forecasts for Peru to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic planning in the power market.
* Target business opportunities and risks Peru's power sector through our reviews of latest power industry trends regulatory changes and major deals projects and investments in Peru.
* Assess the activities strategy and market position of your competitors partners and clients via our Competitive Landscape analysis.
Coverage
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts views and trend analysis covering power markets regulatory changes major investments projects and company developments.
Industry SWOT Analysis
Analysis of the major Strengths Weaknesses Opportunities and Threats within the power sector and within the broader political economic and business environment.
BMI’s Power Forecast Scenario
Forecasts to end-2024 for all key indicators supported by explicit assumptions plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecasts:
* Generation: Electricity generation total thermal coal natural gas oil nuclear hydropower hydro-electric pumped storage and non-hydropower renewables.
* Transmission and Distribution Losses: Electric power transmission and distribution losses.
* Trade: Total imports and exports.
* Electricity Consumption: Net consumption.
* Electricity Capacity: Capacity net conventional thermal nuclear hydropower and non-hydroelectric renewables.
BMI’s Power Risk Reward Index
BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (power companies service companies and equity investors) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry economic and demographic data points to provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors
Market Overview
Structure size and value of the industry sector; overview of the industry landscape and key players; an assessment of the business operating environment sustainable energy policies pricing and the latest regulatory developments.
Key Projects Database
Details and analysis of all current and planned developments (new ventures capacity expansion and other investments) across the sector broken down by location sector type capacity value companies and operational status.
Competitive Landscape
Illustration of the power industry that exploits our data-rich in-depth analysis of the leading players in the sector and examination of operational results strategic goals market position and the potential for investment.
Power Outlook long-Term Forecasts
Regional long-term power forecasts covering electricity generation consumption and capacity for thermal hydroelectric and nuclear power. These are supported by a country specific overview alongside an analysis of key downside risks to the main forecasts.
Regional Overview
Providing BMI’s near-term economic outlook for the region as a whole as well as taking a close look at countries of particular interest and the latest trends and developments.
Sources
The Power Market Reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources such as multilateral organisations government departments industry associations chambers and company reports including Energy Information Administration (EIA) World Bank (WB) and United Nations (UN).
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