Quotes: US MENA   Enter Symbol: NewsLetter: Search: advanced

A game changer in Syria?  Join our daily free Newsletter

MENAFN - Arab News - 14/11/2012

No. of Ratings : 0
Add to Mixx!


 


(MENAFN - Arab News) THE coming few days will be decisive in determining the effect of the newly formed coalition of anti-government opposition and revolutionary forces on the future of the Syrian regime and the armed uprising that is raging in Syria to topple it.

The new front came into being in Doha after days of tense negotiations between various opposition groups, including leaders in exiles and so-called coordination committees based in Syria. The Syrian National Council (SNC) finally bowed to international pressure, mainly from the US, to join this coalition which will now become the "legitimate" representative of the Syrian people and the natural successor to the regime of President Bashar Assad.

Few days earlier the SNC carried out its own restructuring, electing a new executive body and a new president, George Sabra, a Christian and former communist. The SNC, believed to be under the hegemony of the Muslim Brotherhood, had failed to attract other opposition groups including Kurds, secularists and local coordination committees. It has now joined the new coalition who is led by an independent Islamist Moaz Al-Khatib.

The new platform was suggested by leading opposition figure Riad Seif, who was also elected as Al-Khatib's deputy. Seif has been working closely with US ambassador to Syria, Robert Ford, on a plan to unite various Syrian opposition groups.

The United States had rebuffed the SNC for failing to present a united front. It now promises to recognize the new coalition and will call on other countries to do so. The Arab League will consider giving Syria's seat in the organization to the new coalition. Damascus has described its opponents meeting in Doha as a US creation, hoping to undermine their credibility.

The new coalition is expected to create an interim governing council, or a government in exile, and a supreme military body to coordinate operations and strategies on the ground. The united front will become the only conduit for humanitarian aid and hopefully arms; reassuring the west that weapons will not fall into the wrong hands and that a recognized moderate government will take over once Assad is toppled.

It is early to predict how the new coalition will affect developments on the ground. The Syrian regime and rebels have been locked in a bloody confrontation for months now. Recently the Syrian Free Army (SFA) has reorganized its forces into three main fighting groups on three fronts.

The regime appeared to have lost ground in the north and has made little headway in reclaiming Syria's largest city, Aleppo. The SFA has been getting ready to launch a big offensive on Damascus; a crucial battle to depose of the regime.

On the other hand, President Assad remains defiant. His air force has been pounding rebel areas all over the country, with heavy civilian casualties.
In recent days thousands of refugees have crossed into Turkey and Jordan.
The UN estimates the number of Syrian refugees in neighboring countries to be more than 400,000. Their conditions will worsen as winter settles in.

Even as the fighting inches closer to Damascus and its environs it is difficult to see the rebels achieving a decisive victory soon. The Syrian regime still has uncontested control of the sky and recently it has been accused of using cluster bombs against its own population. And while the SFA has said it is now reorganizing itself and is leading the battles from "liberated" areas, the West continues to worry about the role of foreign combatants in the Syrian crisis.

With the US and its regional allies placing high hopes on the new Syrian National Coalition for Opposition and Revolutionary Forces, the capacity of this body to stay united remains doubtful. In the absence of a political deal anytime soon, the coalition's president has reiterated previous positions that there will be no dialogue with the regime. There are no signs that Washington will adopt a new approach on direct military intervention.

Reuters reported that Ford, the American ambassador to Syria, told SNC members that they should forget dreams of US military intervention in President Barack Obama's second term.

Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, who was in the region last week, urged the Syrian opposition to abandon its precondition that President Assad step down before any talks can be held on ending the conflict. But while he denied that secret talks are taking place between Washington and Moscow over Syria, it is now believed that only an understanding between Obama and Vladimir Putin on Syria can resolve the issue. Such an agreement may not be to the liking of the new coalition, especially with regard to Assad's future, but it is the only realistic way of reaching a political deal.

Other scenarios will not bode well for Syria and its people, or for the region. They include an open-ended war where no clear winner will emerge or a de facto division of Syria along areas under control of each party. And there is also the threat of a regional spillover. The price of something like this taking place will be too much to bear for the Syrians and the region as a whole.

 






  MENA News Headlines
Apr 24 2014Qatar- HH Sheikha Moza Meets Mayor of Kobe Visits RIKEN Research Institution ,Qatar News Agency
(MENAFN - Qatar News Agency) Kobe April 24 - Her Highness Sheikha Moza bint Nasser Chairperson of Qatar Foundation for Education Science and Community Development (QF) today held a meeting with the ...

Apr 24 2014Qatar- Sidra-BMC Event Boosts Biomedical Research Publishing ,Qatar News Agency
(MENAFN - Qatar News Agency) Doha April 24 - A symposium organised jointly by Sidra Medical Research Centre and BioMed Central (BMC) mulled trends in research and on open access publishing here ...

Apr 24 2014Qatar- Mannai Corp Q1 Net Profit up 73% to QR 150.1 Million ,Qatar News Agency
(MENAFN - Qatar News Agency) Doha April 24 - Qatar Exchange listed Mannai Corporation (QE: MCCS) net profit is up 73% to QR 150.1 Million for the first quarter of fiscal year 2014 ending March 31 ...

Apr 24 2014Bahraini firms forecasted to grow 10 pct ,MENAFN
(MENAFN) In a report based on a study of over 650 companies across GCC, Kuwait Financial Centre (Markaz) forecasts a growth of the Bahraini companies' earnings by 10 percent in 2014, Gulf Daily News ...

Apr 24 2014Israeli Army Storms Deir Samit Village West of Hebron ,Qatar News Agency
(MENAFN - Qatar News Agency) bron April 24 - Israeli army forces stormed at dawn Thursday Deir Samit village southwest of Hebron city in the West Bank. The Israeli forces conducted raid and search ...

Apr 24 2014Qatar Airways to add more seats on Doha-Vienna route ,MENAFN
(MENAFN) Qatar Airways plans to offer more 1.700 seats on its Doha-Vienna route beginning from September 2014, according to Gulf News. The company aims to expand the growing passenger demand from ...

Apr 24 2014Qatar- QFC Authority Five-a-Side Football Tournament Kicks Off ,Qatar News Agency
(MENAFN - Qatar News Agency) Doha April 24 - Qatar Financial Centre (QFC) Authority's first Five-a-side Football Tournament is displaying dribbling skills of executives from Doha's financial ...

Apr 24 2014Qatar Stock Exchange Down 0.05% ,Qatar News Agency
(MENAFN - Qatar News Agency) Doha April 24 - The Qatar Exchange ended in the red area when trading closed Thursday at 12954.93 points (0.05%) down 6.63 points from the previous closing of 12961.56 ...

Apr 24 2014Israeli Tanks Enter Gaza Border area ,Qatar News Agency
(MENAFN - Qatar News Agency) Gaza April 24 - Six Israeli military tanks on Thursday entered a border area in the southern Gaza Strip witnesses said. The tanks crossed into Gaza in an area called ...

Apr 24 2014President Salva Kiir Relieves his Chief of the General Staff ,Qatar News Agency
(MENAFN - Qatar News Agency) Juba April 24 -South Sudanese President Salva Kiir relieved Chief of the General Staff of south sudan army James Hoth Mai. This came in a presidential decree aired ...

Apr 24 2014Afghan Guard Shoots Dead 3 Foreigners in Hospital ,Qatar News Agency
(MENAFN - Qatar News Agency) Kabul April 24 - Three foreigners including a doctor were shot dead and their colleague wounded when a guard of a private Cure Hospital opened fire on them in the ...

Apr 24 2014Georgian Justice Minister Leaves Doha ,Qatar News Agency
(MENAFN - Qatar News Agency) Doha April 24 - HE Minister of Justice of Georgia Tia Tsulukiana left Doha on Thursday morning wrapping up a two-day official visit to the country. An agreement on ...

Apr 24 2014Omani non-oil exports to enter African markets ,MENAFN
(MENAFN) A senior official at the Oman Chamber of Commerce and Industry (OCCI) said that the Sultanate is seeking expansion in new African markets, in a time it is looking forward to reduce its ...

Apr 24 2014US Secretary of State Meets Egyptian Intelligence Chief ,Qatar News Agency
(MENAFN - Qatar News Agency) shington April 24 - US Secretary of State John Kerry has met with the Egyptian Intelligence Chief Major General Mohammed Ahmed Fareed al-Tohami who is currently ...

Apr 24 2014Uruguay Public Health Minister Meets HE Qatari Ambassador ,Qatar News Agency
(MENAFN - Qatar News Agency) Montevideo April 24 -Minister of Public Health in Uruguay Maria Susana Mu?iz met here on Thursday with HE qatari ambassador to the republic of Uruguay mohamed hassan ...

Apr 24 2014Egyptian Premier Off to Chad ,Qatar News Agency
(MENAFN - Qatar News Agency) Cairo April 24 - Egyptian Prime Minister Ibrahim Mehlib left cairo on Thursday for Chad the first leg of a three-day two-state trip that will also take him to Tanzania ...

Apr 24 2014Australian Federal Parliament Deputy Speaker Meets HE Qatari Ambassador ,Qatar News Agency
(MENAFN - Qatar News Agency) Canberra April 24 - Australian Federal Parliament Deputy Speaker Bruce Scott met here Thursday with HE Qatar's Ambassador to Australia Yousef bin Ali Al ...

Apr 24 2014King bids to reassure Saudis as MERS deaths hit 85 ,AFP
(MENAFN - AFP) King Abdullah was in the Saudi commercial hub of Jeddah on Thursday in a bid to reassure a worried public as the death toll from the MERS virus hit 85. The Red Sea city has seen a ...

Apr 24 20143 GCC countries among top 30 on network readiness index ,MENAFN
(MENAFN) According to an annual global technology survey for network readiness index for 2014, three GCC countries have made it to the top 30 list for the third year in a row, Gulf Daily News ...

Apr 24 2014QBA strengthens economic ties with Kenya ,MENAFN
(MENAFN) Members of the elite Qatar Businessmen's Association (QBA) stated their willingness to cooperate with their Kenyan peers, strengthening economic ties between Qatar and Kenya, The Peninsula ...

more...


 
Arab Advisors_11th convergence conf






Google

 
 

Middle East North Africa - Financial Network

MENAFN News Market Data Countries Tools Section  
 

Middle East North Africa - Financial Network
Arabic MENAFN

Main News
News By Industry
News By Country
Marketwatch News
UPI News
Comtex News

IPO News
Islamic Finance News
Private Equity News

How-To Guides
Technology Section

Travel Section

Search News

Market Indices
Quotes & Charts

Global Indices
Arab Indices

US Markets Details

Commodoties

Oil & Energy

Currencies Cross Rates
Currencies Updates
Currency Converter

USA Stocks
Arab Stocks
 

Algeria 
Bahrain 
Egypt 
Iraq
Jordan 
Kuwait 
Lebanon
Morocco 
Oman 
Palestine
Qatar 
Saudi Arabia 
Syria
Tunisia 
UAE 
Yemen

Weather
Investment Game
Economic Calendar
Financial Glossary

My MENAFN
Portfolio Tracker

Voting

Financial Calculators

RSS Feeds [XML]

Corporate Monitor

Events

Real Estate
Submit Your Property

Arab Research
Buy a Research

Press Releases
Submit your PR

Join Newsletters


 
© 2000 menafn.com All Rights Reserved.  Terms of Service | Privacy Policy | Contact Us | Advertise | About MENAFN | Career Opportunities | Feedback | Help