(MENAFNEditorial)
Core Views:
* The Peruvian economy will recover in the coming years driven by robust private consumption growth and a pickup in investment into infrastructure.
* After the budget balance flipped from a surplus to a deficit for the first time since 2009 in 2014 we expect persistent shortfalls in the coming years due to lower government revenue growth.
* The Peruvian sol will continue to weaken this year due to weak trade dynamics but begin a modest appreciatory trend in 2016.
Major Forecast Changes:
* No major forecast changes this quarter.
Key Risks To Outlook:
The risks to our macroeconomic outlook for Peru lie mostly to the upside. We are below consensus on the trajectory of industrial metals prices and a strong bounce in copper would be positive for Peruvian economic growth and for the country's exchange rate.
Full Report Details at
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The Peru Country Risk Report helps businesses with market assessment strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in Peru. It is an essential tool for CEOs Chairmen Finance Directors/CFOs Managing Directors Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market.
An influential new analysis of Peru's economic political and financial prospects through end-2019 just published by award-winning forecasters BMI Research.
Key Uses
* Forecast the pace and stability of Peru's economic and industry growth through end-2019.
* Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends to facilitate risk mitigation.
* Assess the critical shortcomings of the operating environment that pose hidden barriers and costs to corporate profitability.
* Contextualise Peru's country risks against regional peers using BMI's country comparative Risk Index system.
* Evaluate external threats to doing business in Peru including currency volatility the commodity price boom and protectionist policies.
The Peru Country Risk Report by BMI Research includes four major sections:Economic OutlookPolitical OutlookOperational RiskandKey Sector Outlook.
Economic Outlook:
How will the Peru' economic policy-making and performance impact on corporate profitability over 2015-2019?
BMI provides our fully independent 5-year forecasts for Peru through end-2019 for more than 50 economic and key industry indicators. We evaluate growth and also forecast the impact of economic management.
Economic Outlook Contents
The Peru Country Risk Report features BMI's forecasts with supporting analysis for 2015 through to end-2019 set against government views and BMI's evaluation of global and regional prospects.
Key Areas Covered:
Data:
* Full 10-year forecasts with data - for key macroeconomic variables including GDP (real growth and per capita) population inflation current account balance and the exchange rate.
* BMI's comprehensive Risk Index system - rates each country worldwide for economic and political risk and rates the business environment within a global and regional context.
Written Analysis:
* Economic Activity - real GDP growth employment inflation consumption (retail sales and confidence).
* Balance of Payments - trade and investment current and capital account.
* Monetary Policy - interest rate trends (bank lending and deposit rates) and inflation (producer price and consumer price).
* Exchange Rate Policy - currency controls foreign investment flows exchange rates and foreign exchange reserves.
* Fiscal Policy - macroeconomic strategy and policies government finance and tax reforms.
* Foreign Direct Investment - approvals inflows and climate.
* External Debt - debt profile (short and long-term plus public and private sector obligations).
* Global Assumptions - forecasts for each year to end-2019 covering: major commodities growth in key regions inflation and interest and exchange rates in the United States Japan China and the eurozone.
Key Benefits
* Rely upon BMI's 100% independent forecast scenarios for Peru and underlying assumptions - we take no advertising and are privately-owned.
* Exploit the benefits of BMI's comprehensive and reliable macroeconomic database on Peru sourced and fully maintained by BMI from an extensive network of private sector government and multilateral contacts.
* Gain key insights into the current and future direction of government economic policy which could significantly affect your company's business prospects from BMI's team of analysts and economists.
Political Outlook:
What are the political risks to doing business in Peru over the next 5-years?
BMI's Peru country Risk Index evaluates the short- and medium-term threats to political stability.
Political Outlook Contents
* SWOT Analysis for the Peru Market - Political Strengths Weaknesses Opportunities and Threats facing Peru.
* Political Stability and Risk Assessment - BMI's Risk Index assesses explicit short- and long-term risks to political stability; latest positioning and trends for Peru's risk are compared with regional and global averages.
* Current Administration and Policy-making BMI assesses the threats to the continuity of economic policy and likely changes to the business operating environment.
* Long-Term Political Outlook BMI examines the structural risks to the stability of Peru’s political system and the dominant public policy issues likely to affect decision-makers and outlines scenarios for how the state could evolve in the medium to long term.
Key Benefits
* Benchmark Peru's risk profile against its neighbours the global and regional average allowing easy comparison of risks between key business markets.
* Identify evaluate and anticipate political and security risks to the business environment and to your company's current operations and future plans.
About Fast Market Research
Fast Market Research is a leading distributor of market research and business information. Representing the world's top research publishers and analysts we provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available. Our unbiased expert staff is always available to help you find the right research to fit your requirements and your budget.
For more information about these or related research reports please visit our website at or call us at 1.800.844.8156 (1.413.485.7001 Int'l)
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