(MENAFNEditorial)
Core Views
* We expect the formation of a fragile federalised state in Yemen and the political situation will remain highly unstable over the coming decade. While not our core view we flag significant risks of a return to civil war and a de-facto break-up of the state.
* The economic outlook is uninspiring with growth remaining sluggish over the 2015-19 period. Our core scenario sees business activity continuing to be negatively impacted by civil unrest while persistent attacks on the country's hydrocarbon infrastructure will weigh on exports.
Key Risks To Outlook
* Any further disruption to oil or gas exports would weigh heavily on the external position. Yemen's current account dynamics remain precarious; with minimal inflows of capital on the financial account a further uptick of instability would see the rial coming under unsustainable depreciatory pressure.
* International donors and the Yemeni government will be unable to substantially ameliorate the dramatic humanitarian situation in the country.
Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/987534_oman_yemen_country_risk.aspx?afid=101
The Oman and Yemen Country Risk Report helps businesses with market assessment strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in Oman Yemen. It is an essential tool for CEOs Chairmen Finance Directors/CFOs Managing Directors Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market.
An influential new analysis of Oman Yemen's economic political and financial prospects through end-2019 just published by award-winning forecasters Business Monitor International (BMI).
Key Uses
* Forecast the pace and stability of Oman Yemen's economic and industry growth through end-2019.
* Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends to facilitate risk mitigation.
* Assess the critical shortcomings of the operating environment that pose hidden barriers and costs to corporate profitability.
* Contextualise Oman Yemen's country risks against regional peers using BMI's country comparative Risk Index system.
* Evaluate external threats to doing business in Oman Yemen including currency volatility the commodity price boom and protectionist policies.
The Oman and Yemen Country Risk Report by Business Monitor International (BMI) includes three major sections: Economic Outlook Political Outlook and Operational Risk.
Economic Outlook:
How will the Oman Yemen' economic policy-making and performance impact on corporate profitability over 2015-2019?
BMI provides our fully independent 5-year forecasts for Oman Yemen through end-2019 for more than 50 economic and key industry indicators. We evaluate growth and also forecast the impact of economic management.
Economic Outlook Contents
The Oman and Yemen Country Risk Report features BMI's forecasts with supporting analysis for 2015 through to end-2019 set against government views and BMI's evaluation of global and regional prospects.
Key Areas Covered:
Data:
* Full 10-year forecasts with data - for key macroeconomic variables including GDP (real growth and per capita) population inflation current account balance and the exchange rate.
* BMI's comprehensive Risk Index system - rates each country worldwide for economic and political risk and rates the business environment within a global and regional context.
Written Analysis:
* Economic Activity - real GDP growth employment inflation consumption (retail sales and confidence).
* Balance of Payments - trade and investment current and capital account.
* Monetary Policy - interest rate trends (bank lending and deposit rates) and inflation (producer price and consumer price).
* Exchange Rate Policy - currency controls foreign investment flows exchange rates and foreign exchange reserves.
* Fiscal Policy - macroeconomic strategy and policies government finance and tax reforms.
* Foreign Direct Investment - approvals inflows and climate.
* External Debt - debt profile (short and long-term plus public and private sector obligations).
* Global Assumptions - forecasts for each year to end-2019 covering: major commodities growth in key regions inflation and interest and exchange rates in the United States Japan China and the eurozone.
Key Benefits
* Rely upon BMI's 100% independent forecast scenarios for Oman Yemen and underlying assumptions - we take no advertising and are privately-owned.
* Exploit the benefits of BMI's comprehensive and reliable macroeconomic database on Oman Yemen sourced and fully maintained by BMI from an extensive network of private sector government and multilateral contacts.
* Gain key insights into the current and future direction of government economic policy which could significantly affect your company's business prospects from BMI's team of analysts and economists.
Political Outlook:
What are the political risks to doing business in Oman Yemen over the next 5-years?
BMI's Oman Yemen country Risk Index evaluates the short- and medium-term threats to political stability.
Political Outlook Contents
* SWOT Analysis for the Oman Yemen Market - Political Strengths Weaknesses Opportunities and Threats facing Oman Yemen.
* Political Stability and Risk Assessment - BMI's Risk Index assesses explicit short- and long-term risks to political stability; latest positioning and trends for Oman Yemen's risk are compared with regional and global averages.
* Current Administration and Policy-making BMI assesses the threats to the continuity of economic policy and likely changes to the business operating environment.
* Long-Term Political Outlook BMI examines the structural risks to the stability of Oman Yemen’s political system and the dominant public policy issues likely to affect decision-makers and outlines scenarios for how the state could evolve in the medium to long term.
Key Benefits
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