(MENAFNEditorial)
Core Views
* Economic growth in Botswana will remain relatively healthy over the coming years averaging around 4.5% annually. Even so growth will continue to be dominated by the mining sector as economic diversification efforts continue to bear little fruit .
* Lower fuel and food prices and continued slack within the economy will allow the Bank of Botswana to keep monetary policy accommodative through the remainder of 2015.
* In the continued absence of meaningful economic diversification the mining sector s set to remain a key engine of growth. While nickel copper and particularly coal will become more prominent in the country's export base as well as driving investment diamonds will retain their primacy.
* We expect a return to the political status quo in Botswana in 2015 and 2016 following escalating tensions in the run up to the October 2014 general elections.
Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/987510_botswana_country_risk_report.aspx?afid=101
Key Risks To Outlook:
* We continue to note the risks to our forecasts posed by ongoing revisions to Botswana's national accounts estimates. Amid ongoing efforts by Statistics Botswana to more accurately portray the size and structure of the economy GDP estimates remain subject to frequent and often notable adjustments.
* Given Botswana's dependence on imported energy and food any unexpected rise in global food or oil prices beyond our current projections would pose a risk to our growth outlook.
* Uncertain energy supplies pose a persistent risk to economic activity in Botswana.
The Botswana Country Risk Report helps businesses with market assessment strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in Botswana. It is an essential tool for CEOs Chairmen Finance Directors/CFOs Managing Directors Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market.
An influential new analysis of Botswana's economic political and financial prospects through end-2019 just published by award-winning forecasters Business Monitor International (BMI).
Key Uses
* Forecast the pace and stability of Botswana's economic and industry growth through end-2019.
* Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends to facilitate risk mitigation.
* Assess the critical shortcomings of the operating environment that pose hidden barriers and costs to corporate profitability.
* Contextualise Botswana's country risks against regional peers using BMI's country comparative Risk Index system.
* Evaluate external threats to doing business in Botswana including currency volatility the commodity price boom and protectionist policies.
The Botswana Country Risk Report by Business Monitor International (BMI) includes three major sections: Economic Outlook Political Outlook and Operational Risk.
Economic Outlook:
How will the Botswana' economic policy-making and performance impact on corporate profitability over 2015-2019?
BMI provides our fully independent 5-year forecasts for Botswana through end-2019 for more than 50 economic and key industry indicators. We evaluate growth and also forecast the impact of economic management.
Economic Outlook Contents
The Botswana Country Risk Report features BMI's forecasts with supporting analysis for 2015 through to end-2019 set against government views and BMI's evaluation of global and regional prospects.
Key Areas Covered:
Data:
* Full 10-year forecasts with data - for key macroeconomic variables including GDP (real growth and per capita) population inflation current account balance and the exchange rate.
* BMI's comprehensive Risk Index system - rates each country worldwide for economic and political risk and rates the business environment within a global and regional context.
Written Analysis:
* Economic Activity - real GDP growth employment inflation consumption (retail sales and confidence).
* Balance of Payments - trade and investment current and capital account.
* Monetary Policy - interest rate trends (bank lending and deposit rates) and inflation (producer price and consumer price).
* Exchange Rate Policy - currency controls foreign investment flows exchange rates and foreign exchange reserves.
* Fiscal Policy - macroeconomic strategy and policies government finance and tax reforms.
* Foreign Direct Investment - approvals inflows and climate.
* External Debt - debt profile (short and long-term plus public and private sector obligations).
* Global Assumptions - forecasts for each year to end-2019 covering: major commodities growth in key regions inflation and interest and exchange rates in the United States Japan China and the eurozone.
Key Benefits
* Rely upon BMI's 100% independent forecast scenarios for Botswana and underlying assumptions - we take no advertising and are privately-owned.
* Exploit the benefits of BMI's comprehensive and reliable macroeconomic database on Botswana sourced and fully maintained by BMI from an extensive network of private sector government and multilateral contacts.
* Gain key insights into the current and future direction of government economic policy which could significantly affect your company's business prospects from BMI's team of analysts and economists.
Political Outlook:
What are the political risks to doing business in Botswana over the next 5-years?
BMI's Botswana country Risk Index evaluates the short- and medium-term threats to political stability.
Political Outlook Contents
* SWOT Analysis for the Botswana Market - Political Strengths Weaknesses Opportunities and Threats facing Botswana.
* Political Stability and Risk Assessment - BMI's Risk Index assesses explicit short- and long-term risks to political stability; latest positioning and trends for Botswana's risk are compared with regional and global averages.
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