(MENAFNEditorial)
China's weight in the global agricultural sector is swelling as the country has a growing impact on international production balances and prices. China will maintain a strong appetite for key commodities for the foreseeable future and we see particular potential for production growth in sugar dairy and meat products. High demand growth strong government support and potential for investment and consolidation in these industries will help them outperform in the coming years. However the agribusiness sector is experiencing challenging times with GDP growth slowing down consumers' trust in food safety dwindling food ingredients prices rising labour costs soaring and bank loan requirements for small sized enterprises tightening. This is best seen in the slowdown in meat and milk powder consumption in 2015 amidst low supply elevated prices and the ongoing crackdown on red tape and government receptions which also supported demand in recent years.
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Agricultural production in China has recorded exceptional growth over recent years driven by an expansion in area cultivated and strong growth in productivity. However output growth is slowing down in some of the largest producers due to pollution and land constraints. The government has acknowledged the challenge and is more reformist than ever. In 2015 China will continue to amend its stockpiling policy and will accelerate its reforms to partially liberalise land and prices which will enable the country to maintain an elevated level of food self-sufficiency.
Key Forecasts
* Corn production growth to 2018/19: 23.7% to 270.1mn tonnes. Output expansion will be driven by steady improvements in corn yields the probable adoption of GM corn in the coming years and sustained public support. China's production deficit will amount around 4mn tonnnes by the end of our forecast period.
* Pork production growth to 2018/19:...
The China Agribusiness Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and independent forecasts for production consumption and trade across core agricultural commodities.
BMI's China Agribusiness Report includes independent commodity price forecasting and analysis for key agricultural outputs an overview of the agribusiness competitive landscape and a discussion of the downstream context of agricultural production in relation to country food consumption forecasts and composite food and beverage trade forecasts.
Key Benefits
* Use BMI's independent industry forecasts to test other views - a key input for successful planning in dynamic agribusiness markets.
* Apply BMI's medium-term commodity price analysis to assist with budgetary planning and the identification of investment opportunities and potential risks.
* Assess the activities and market position of your competitors partners and clients.
Coverage
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views highlighting recent changes and key risks to the industry outlook.
Industry SWOT Analysis
Analysis of the major strengths weaknesses opportunities and threats within the wider agricultural industry.
BMI Supply & Demand Forecasts
Divided into sections based on various diverse sectors in the agriculture market the chapter provides insight into each market’s agricultural industry centred on sector forecasts to end-2019 for the consumption production and trade of key commodities.
* Consumption Forecasts: Accompanied by a discussion of the main drivers of consumption growth: macroeconomic factors food processing trends price movements and increasingly demand from the non-food sector.
* Production Forecasts: Examine the trends influencing BMI’s production outlook: global demand price increases public and private sector investment and agricultural efficiency improvements.
* Trade Forecasts: Accompanied by a discussion of the factors influencing a country’s trade in agricultural goods including domestic demand global prices and government trade policies.
* BMI’s Forecasts: Accompanied by a risks-to-outlook assessment which examines potential factors that could affect our existing forecast picture and the likelihood of their occurrence.
BMI’s Commodity Price Analysis
Fundamental and technical analysis of the short- and medium-term price outlook for eight agricultural commodities based on globally recognised benchmarks.
Downstream Analysis
Analysis of headline food and drink forecasts including total food consumption per capita food consumption and total sector trade which provide important downstream intelligence for primary agricultural producers.
Featured Analysis
Includes relevant articles from BMI’s daily analysis service. These can include: long-term projections on agricultural imports and exports; our perceptions of the impacts of economic slowdown on key companies and subsectors within the Agribusiness industry in a given country; our analysis of fertilizer production; as well as other relevant analysis of recent news and events.
Competitive Landscape
The reports contain information on prominent companies operating in each market.
Key Commodities Covered By The Agribusiness Market
Reports Include: Grains Dairy Livestock Rice Sugar Palm Oil Edible Oils Coffee Cocoa Cotton Soybean
Please note – not all reports cover all commodities.
Sources
The Agribusiness reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources such as multilateral organisations government departments industry associations chambers and company reports.
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