(MENAFNEditorial)
Thailand's telecoms sector has faced a tumultuous few months with the Prime Minister approving a number of controversial new laws and policies which threaten to send the country back to an industry model akin to the concession-based revenue-sharing regime that saw private companies partner with the ineffi cient state-owned enterprises. BMI also believes that there will be no spectrum auction rather the 900/1800MHz spectrum will be allocated to the state-owned TOT and CAT Telecom . AIS has unveiled a plan to develop a nationwide broadband network to rival those of TrueOnline and TOT while True has committed to further expansion of its 3G/4G networks as well as its core wireline infrastructure. More recently DTAC committed to a long-term expansion of its tri-band mobile network and True welcomed China Mobile as an investment partner.
Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/957446_thailand_telecommunications_report_q2_2015.aspx?afid=101
Key Data
* Strong demand for 3G/4G services helped sustain subscription growth momentum in 9M14 although much of this was achieved through cannibalisation of the existing 2G market. However in light of recent events we have made some changes to our five-year mobile sector forecast and expect there to be 102.5mn subscriptions by 2019.
* Price competition and aggressive marketing campaigns are exerting downwards pressure on mobile ARPU. Furthermore declining SMS volumes are threatening operator revenues and margins as subscribers adopt IP alternatives such as WhatsApp and Viber. ARPU is forecast to reach THB178 by 2019 down from THB204 in 2013.
* The fixed-line market is stagnating and we expect it will decline by an average of 2.9% a year over our five-year forecast period 2014-2019 bringing penetration down to 7.5% in 2019.
Key Trends And Developments
On January 6 2015 Thailand's cabinet of ministers approved eight draft laws which effectively stripped the National Broadcasting and Telecommunications Commission (NBTC) of its power to assign and manage frequencies. The new Digital...
The Thailand Telecommunications Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent industry forecasts on the future strength of Thailand's ICT market covering the fixed-line mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news including investment activity mergers and acquisitions joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled highlighting their quarterly financial performance capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.
BMI's Thailand Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers operators equipment suppliers and vendors corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecoms industry in Thailand.
Key Benefits
* Benchmark BMI's independent telecoms industry forecasts for Thailand to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Thai telecoms market.
* Target business opportunities and risks in Thailand's telecoms sector through our reviews of latest industry trends regulatory changes and major deals projects and investments in Thailand.
* Assess the activities strategy and market position of your competitors partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs KPIs and latest activity).
Coverage
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views covering the ARPU fi xed-line mobile (including 3G & 4G ) internet and broadband markets.
Industry SWOT Analysis
Analysis of the major Strengths Weaknesses Opportunities and Threats within the wireline and wireless sectors and within the broader political economic and business environment.
BMI Industry Forecast Scenario
Historic data series (2010-2013) and forecasts to end-2019 for all key industry indicators supported by explicit assumptions plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.
* Fixed-line Telephony – Telephone lines (‘000); telephone lines/100 inhabitants.
* Cellular Telephony – Mobile phone subscribers (‘000); mobile phone subscribers/100 inhabitants; and where available 3G & 4G subscribers (‘000); 3G & 4G subscribers/100 inhabitants; 3G & 4G subscribers as a percentage of overall mobile market.
* Internet Markets – Internet users (‘000); internet users/100 inhabitants; broadband internet subscribers (‘000); broadband internet subscribers/100 inhabitants.
BMI’s Telecommunications Risk Reward Index
BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (vendors operators and suppliers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry economic and demographic data points to provide an Indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors with each position explained.
Market Data Analysis
Detailed market analysis of the mobile mobile content fixed-line and internet segments broken down into:
* Market Data – Analysis of market size operator shares dominant trends competitive landscape and key quarterly data.
* Technology/Service Rollout – Analysis of rollout/adoption of new technology such as 3G & 4G WiMAX IPTV pay-TV LTE and valueadded handset services (gaming music video apps etc.).
* Mobile Content – The latest trends in content and services available and being introduced by mobile operators including a timeline of all the latest major mobile content developments. Company Database – A comprehensive breakdown of KPIs of the leading mobile operators including subscriber figures by type (pre-paid and post-paid); 3G & 4G subscriber figures; net additions; market share; ARPU; churn rates; minutes of use; voice and non-voice revenue; financial figures (including operating revenues net profits and EBITDA).
Regulatory Environment
Details of the regulatory bodies and their responsibilities as well as a special focus on the rules surrounding competition and interconnection. Also covers the latest updates in the market’s development and regulatory rulings.
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