(MENAFNEditorial)
We forecast real private consumption growth at 1.3% in Brazil down from 1.5% in 2014 and 2.6% in 2013 on the back of anaemic GDP growth. A less favourable external environment in light of an ongoing slowdown in Chinese growth a poor domestic business environment and lack of export competitiveness poses significant headwinds to growth. Brazil is in the early stages of an economic policy shift with new Finance Minister Joaquim Levy set to reverse the fiscal deterioration of recent years and a central bank that is more committed to reining in inflation.
Food and retail consumption is likely to outperform among the country's private consumption items and we project generally strong sales growth for the main companies in the sector. We also believe that a moderation in input prices (grains) could help margins for these companies to recover in the coming months.
Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/957400_brazil_food_drink_report_q2_2015.aspx?afid=101
Headline Industry Data (local currency)
* 2015 per capita food consumption = +7.4% y-o-y; forecast compound annual growth rate (CAGR) to 2019 = +7.1%.
* 2015 alcoholic drink sales = +7.4% y-o-y; forecast CAGR to 2019 = +7.2%.
* 2015 soft drink sales = +7.6% y-o-y; forecast CAGR to 2019= +7.8%.
* 2015 mass grocery retail sales = +8.5% y-o-y; forecast CAGR to 2019 = +7.6%.
Key Company Trends
SABMiller To Export To Brazil : UK-based brewer SABMiller has re-added Brazil to its distribution network in the Latin American region. The company has entered a distribution licence agreement with Brazil-based Grupo Petropolis to return to the Brazilian market. The company which stopped importing to Brazil in 2012 owing to a difficult exchange rate will target the small but growing premium segment in the country.
China And Saudi Arabia Lift Brazilian Meat Bans : In December 2014 Brazil resumed exports of meat products to China and Saudi Arabia according to Neri Geller the country's minister of agriculture livestock and supply. The move comes after Chinese authorities decided to remove their ban on Brazilian...
The Brazil Food & Drink Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and independent forecasts for food and drink expenditure consumption sales and imports/exports and forecasts for the mass grocery retail sector. The report also includes analyses of major regulatory developments the background macroeconomic outlook and competitive landscape comparing national and multinational companies by leading products and services sales investments partners and expansion strategies.
BMI's Brazil Food & Drink Report provides industry professionals and strategists sector analysts business investors trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the food and drink industry and the mass grocery retail market in Brazil.
Key Benefits
* Benchmark BMI's independent food and drink industry forecasts for Brazil to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Brazilian food and drink market.
* Target business opportunities and risks in Brazil through our reviews of latest industry trends regulatory changes and major deals projects and investments.
* Exploit latest competitive intelligence on your competitors partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs KPIs and latest activity) and Competitive Landscape Tables.
Coverage
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views covering food and drink manufacturing and consumption and the mass grocery retail market.
Industry SWOT Analysis
Analysis of the major strengths weaknesses opportunities and threats within the food drink and mass grocery retail sectors and within the broader political economic and business environment.
BMI’s Food and Drink Risk Reward Index
BMI’s Risk Reward Index provides investors (food and drink manufacturers and mass grocery retailers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry economic and demographic points. These provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors with each position explained.
Food Forecasts
BMI’s food chapter is divided into sections such as meat fish confectionary dairy and canned foods and provides insight into each market’s food industry centred on a forecast to end-2019 for the sector. The chapter includes the following elements:
* Industry Forecast Scenario: Historical data series and a forecast to end-2019 for growth of key indicators within a market’s food industry. Indicators include food consumption food consumption as % of GDP canned food sales confectionery sales and food and drink imports and exports among others.
* Industry Developments: A summary of corporate developments including news on M&As FDI expansions closures and financial results in addition to analysis and explanation of the latest industry events and how these could influence further investment.
* Market Overview: An overview of the structure of the market introducing the key players and discussing underlying trends.
Drink Forecasts
Segmented the same way as BMI’s food chapter the drink section provides insight into each market’s drink industry centred on a forecast to end-2019 for the sector. Forecast indicators include alcoholic and soft drink sales by value volume and sub-sector and tea and coffee sales among others.
Mass Grocery Retail Forecasts
Segmented the same way as BMI’s food and drink chapters the mass grocery retail section provides insight into each market’s grocery retail industry centred on a forecast to end-2019 for the sector. Forecast indicators include mass grocery retail sales by format (including supermarkets hypermarkets convenience and discount stores) and a breakdown of the organised retail sector versus the traditional sector among others.
Competitive Landscape
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