(MENAFNEditorial)
Over the longer term we believe that the continued investment by the government to improve infrastructure - such as the improvement of irrigation systems - will help the country to turn away from its backward agrarian system and will yield results in terms of better-quality grains. We are especially upbeat in our outlook for grains and sugar production. Recent f inancial sanctions designed to pressure Tehran over its nuclear programme played havoc with Iran's ability to import goods leaving ood price inflation is soaring . The election of President Hassan Rouhani a more moderate leader than his predecessor Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has seen the country adopt a more conciliatory stance with the West with many sanctions being eased or removed .
Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/957425_iran_agribusiness_report_q2_2015.aspx?afid=101
Key Forecasts
* Wheat production growth to 2017/18: 6.1% to 15.1mn tonnes. Wheat yields are expected to improve owing to the modernisation of technology including hardier grains variants greater access to relevant inputs and a larger area of the country benefiting from new irrigation facilities.
* Sugar consumption growth to 2018: 18.2% to 2.5mn tonnes. Sugar demand will be mainly driven by population growth.
* Poultry production growth to 2017/18: 15.9% to 927400 tonnes. Growth will be driven by domestic demand and the effects of increased investment.
* BMI universe agribusiness market value: USD47.3bn in 2015 (up 0.2% compared with 2014; growth forecast to average 2.9% annually between 2014 and 2019).
* 2015 real GDP growth: 2.1% (down from 2.8% in 2014; predicted to average 2.8% from 2014-2019).
* 2015 consumer price inflation: 23.0% year-on-year (y-o-y) (up from 21.0% y-o-y in 2014; predicted to average 15.8% y-o-y from 2014-2019).
Key Developments
The outlook for Iran's livestock and dairy sectors in the short and medium term is improving. A recovery in farms' profitability will help production to grow in 2013/14 after two...
The Iran Agribusiness Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and independent forecasts for production consumption and trade across core agricultural commodities.
BMI's Iran Agribusiness Report includes independent commodity price forecasting and analysis for key agricultural outputs an overview of the agribusiness competitive landscape and a discussion of the downstream context of agricultural production in relation to country food consumption forecasts and composite food and beverage trade forecasts.
Key Benefits
* Use BMI's independent industry forecasts to test other views - a key input for successful planning in dynamic agribusiness markets.
* Apply BMI's medium-term commodity price analysis to assist with budgetary planning and the identification of investment opportunities and potential risks.
* Assess the activities and market position of your competitors partners and clients.
Coverage
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views highlighting recent changes and key risks to the industry outlook.
Industry SWOT Analysis
Analysis of the major strengths weaknesses opportunities and threats within the wider agricultural industry.
BMI Supply & Demand Forecasts
Divided into sections based on various diverse sectors in the agriculture market the chapter provides insight into each market’s agricultural industry centred on sector forecasts to end-2019 for the consumption production and trade of key commodities.
* Consumption Forecasts: Accompanied by a discussion of the main drivers of consumption growth: macroeconomic factors food processing trends price movements and increasingly demand from the non-food sector.
* Production Forecasts: Examine the trends influencing BMI’s production outlook: global demand price increases public and private sector investment and agricultural efficiency improvements.
* Trade Forecasts: Accompanied by a discussion of the factors influencing a country’s trade in agricultural goods including domestic demand global prices and government trade policies.
* BMI’s Forecasts: Accompanied by a risks-to-outlook assessment which examines potential factors that could affect our existing forecast picture and the likelihood of their occurrence.
BMI’s Commodity Price Analysis
Fundamental and technical analysis of the short- and medium-term price outlook for eight agricultural commodities based on globally recognised benchmarks.
Downstream Analysis
Analysis of headline food and drink forecasts including total food consumption per capita food consumption and total sector trade which provide important downstream intelligence for primary agricultural producers.
Featured Analysis
Includes relevant articles from BMI’s daily analysis service. These can include: long-term projections on agricultural imports and exports; our perceptions of the impacts of economic slowdown on key companies and subsectors within the Agribusiness industry in a given country; our analysis of fertilizer production; as well as other relevant analysis of recent news and events.
Competitive Landscape
The reports contain information on prominent companies operating in each market.
Key Commodities Covered By The Agribusiness Market
Reports Include: Grains Dairy Livestock Rice Sugar Palm Oil Edible Oils Coffee Cocoa Cotton Soybean
Please note – not all reports cover all commodities.
Sources
The Agribusiness reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources such as multilateral organisations government departments industry associations chambers and company reports.
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