(MENAFNEditorial)
Despite ongoing tensions with Russia Ukraine will see another strong grain harvest in 2014/15 although it will experience year-on-year decline due to the record harvests of 2013/14 . In our view ongoing tensions between Russia and Ukraine will pose downside risks to exports as we could see disruption in transportation for the crop. Also we see downside risks to our production outlook for grain livestock and dairy on the back of deteriorating credit conditions in the country.
Key Forecasts
* Corn producti on growth 2012/13 to 2017/18: 29 . 9 % to 2 7.2 mn tonnes. We are turning more optimistic on the potential for output growth on the back of increased investment in the country. Ongoing tensions could put downside risks to this view however.
* Poultry consumption growth 2013 to 2018: 13.9% to 936100 tonnes. Poultry demand will benefit from lower corn prices and its preferred status as a cheaper and healthier alternative to red meat.
* Milk production growth 2012/13 to 2017/18: 12.2% to 12.9mn tonnes. Over the medium term consolidation and increased investment are expected to start to compensate for industry exits with production rising steadily over the forecast period to 2017/18.
* 2014 real GDP growth: -8 .1 % down from 0.0% in 2013. Predicted to average -0.9% from 2013 to 2018.
* 2014 consumer price inflation: 16.0% average up from -0.3% in 2013.
* BMI univers e agribusiness market value: 7.6 % year-on- year (y-o-y) increase to USD24.1 bn in 2013/14 forecast to grow on average 2.9% annually between 2012/13 and 2017/18.
Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/953272_ukraine_agribusiness_report_q2_2015.aspx?afid=101
Industry Outlook
Russian President Vladimir Putin recently indicated that his government will not take retaliatory actions against Ukraine dairy products after sanitary authorities signalled much poorer quality sold from its neighbours on the back of the difficult operating conditions for dairy companies since the start...
The Ukraine Agribusiness Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and independent forecasts for production consumption and trade across core agricultural commodities.
BMI's Ukraine Agribusiness Report includes independent commodity price forecasting and analysis for key agricultural outputs an overview of the agribusiness competitive landscape and a discussion of the downstream context of agricultural production in relation to country food consumption forecasts and composite food and beverage trade forecasts.
Key Benefits
* Use BMI's independent industry forecasts to test other views - a key input for successful planning in dynamic agribusiness markets.
* Apply BMI's medium-term commodity price analysis to assist with budgetary planning and the identification of investment opportunities and potential risks.
* Assess the activities and market position of your competitors partners and clients.
Coverage
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views highlighting recent changes and key risks to the industry outlook.
Industry SWOT Analysis
Analysis of the major strengths weaknesses opportunities and threats within the wider agricultural industry.
BMI Supply & Demand Forecasts
Divided into sections based on various diverse sectors in the agriculture market the chapter provides insight into each market’s agricultural industry centred on sector forecasts to end-2019 for the consumption production and trade of key commodities.
* Consumption Forecasts: Accompanied by a discussion of the main drivers of consumption growth: macroeconomic factors food processing trends price movements and increasingly demand from the non-food sector.
* Production Forecasts: Examine the trends influencing BMI’s production outlook: global demand price increases public and private sector investment and agricultural efficiency improvements.
* Trade Forecasts: Accompanied by a discussion of the factors influencing a country’s trade in agricultural goods including domestic demand global prices and government trade policies.
* BMI’s Forecasts: Accompanied by a risks-to-outlook assessment which examines potential factors that could affect our existing forecast picture and the likelihood of their occurrence.
BMI’s Commodity Price Analysis
Fundamental and technical analysis of the short- and medium-term price outlook for eight agricultural commodities based on globally recognised benchmarks.
Downstream Analysis
Analysis of headline food and drink forecasts including total food consumption per capita food consumption and total sector trade which provide important downstream intelligence for primary agricultural producers.
Featured Analysis
Includes relevant articles from BMI’s daily analysis service. These can include: long-term projections on agricultural imports and exports; our perceptions of the impacts of economic slowdown on key companies and subsectors within the Agribusiness industry in a given country; our analysis of fertilizer production; as well as other relevant analysis of recent news and events.
Competitive Landscape
The reports contain information on prominent companies operating in each market.
Key Commodities Covered By The Agribusiness Market
Reports Include: Grains Dairy Livestock Rice Sugar Palm Oil Edible Oils Coffee Cocoa Cotton Soybean
Please note – not all reports cover all commodities.
Sources
The Agribusiness reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources such as multilateral organisations government departments industry associations chambers and company reports.
About Fast Market Research
Fast Market Research is a leading distributor of market research and business information. Representing the world's top research publishers and analysts we provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available. Our unbiased expert staff is always available to help you find the right research to fit your requirements and your budget.
For more information about these or related research reports please visit our website at http://www.fastmr.com or call us at 1.800.844.8156 (1.413.485.7001 Int'l)
Legal Disclaimer:
MENAFN provides the information “as is” without warranty of any kind. We do not accept any responsibility or liability for the accuracy, content, images, videos, licenses, completeness, legality, or reliability of the information contained in this article. If you have any complaints or copyright issues related to this article, kindly contact the provider above.