(MENAFNEditorial)
We believe that Canada will experience another year-on-year decline in grains production in 2015/16 as lower average prices and high stocks will limit incentives for farmers. The country's poultry industry is well placed to post strong growth in 2015 and beyond while we believe that the Canadian beef and pork industries will gain the most from having signed the EU-Canada Free Trade Agreement in October 2013
* Wheat production growth 2012/13 to 2017/18: 2.9 % to 28 .0mn tonnes. Disregarding the bumper 2013/14 crop wheat production will marginally tick up over the coming years though will be limited by lower prices relative to historical levels and problems affecting the country's logistics network.
* Poultry production growth to 2017/18: 12.1 % to 1.2mn tonnes. This will be due to consumers' perception that poultry is a healthier meat along with increasing export opportunities. High poultry prices and the recent signing of the EU-Canada Free Trade Agreement are also expected to stimulate production.
* 201 5 real GDP growth: 2. 3 % year-on-year (y-o-y). An increase compared with 2.1% in 2014.
* 2015 c onsumer price inflation : 2.1 % y-o-y average. An increase compared with 1.7% in 2014.
* BMI universe agribusiness market value: 10.7 % y-o-y decrease to USD32.2bn in 2014/15. Forecast to increase by an average of 1.8% annually between 2015/16 and 2017/18.
Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/944687_canada_agribusiness_report_q1_2015.aspx?afid=101
Industry Outlook
Canadian grain production will fall in both 2014/15 and 2015/16 as area devoted to most crops will decline on the back of lower prices y-o-y. Wheat exports will remain strong due to elevated internal stocks the depreciation of the Canadian dollar relative to the US dollar and minimum shipping requirements on domestic freight companies.
Canadian grain production in 2014/15 will decline significantly year-on-year (y-o-y) as area devoted to most crops has fallen and yields return to average levels....
The Canada Agribusiness Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and independent forecasts for production consumption and trade across core agricultural commodities.
BMI's Canada Agribusiness Report includes independent commodity price forecasting and analysis for key agricultural outputs an overview of the agribusiness competitive landscape and a discussion of the downstream context of agricultural production in relation to country food consumption forecasts and composite food and beverage trade forecasts.
Key Benefits
* Use BMI's independent industry forecasts to test other views - a key input for successful planning in dynamic agribusiness markets.
* Apply BMI's medium-term commodity price analysis to assist with budgetary planning and the identification of investment opportunities and potential risks.
* Assess the activities and market position of your competitors partners and clients.
Coverage
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views highlighting recent changes and key risks to the industry outlook.
Industry SWOT Analysis
Analysis of the major Strengths Weaknesses Opportunities and Threats within the wider agricultural industry.
BMI Supply & Demand Forecasts
Divided into sections based on various diverse sectors in the agriculture market the chapter provides insight into each market’s agricultural industry centred on sector forecasts to end-2019 for the consumption production and trade of key commodities.
* Consumption Forecasts are accompanied by a discussion of the main drivers of consumption growth: macroeconomic factors food processing trends price movements and increasingly demand from the non-food sector.
* Production Forecasts examine the trends influencing BMI’s production outlook: global demand price increases public and private sector investment and agricultural efficiency improvements.
* Trade Forecasts are accompanied by a discussion of the factors influencing a country’s trade in agricultural goods including domestic demand global prices and government trade policies.
* BMI’s Forecasts are accompanied by a Risks-to-Outlook assessment which examines potential factors that could affect our existing forecast picture and the likelihood of their occurrence.
BMI’s Commodity Price Analysis
Fundamental and technical analysis of the short- and medium-term price outlook for eight agricultural commodities based on globally recognised benchmarks.
Downstream Analysis
Analysis of headline food and drink forecasts including total food consumption per capita food consumption and total sector trade which provide important downstream intelligence for primary agricultural producers.
Featured Analysis
Includes relevant articles from BMI’s daily analysis service. These can include long-term projections on agricultural imports and exports our perceptions of the impacts of economic slowdown on key companies and subsectors within the Agribusiness industry in a given country our analysis of fertilizer production as well as other relevant analysis of recent news and events.
Competitive landscape
The reports contain information on prominent companies operating in each market.
Key Commodities covered by the Agribusiness market Reports include:
Grains Dairy Livestock Rice Sugar Palm Oil Edible Oils Coffee Cocoa Cotton Soybean
Please note – not all Reports cover all commodities.
Sources
The Agribusiness Reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources such as multilateral organisations government departments industry associations chambers and company reports.
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