(MENAFNEditorial)
The outlook for the Colombian energy sector is broadly positive with demand for electricity steadily growing and the government ha s taken several positive steps to encourag e investment in the sector . However overshadowing this optimism are concerns about security along with the country's continued over-reliance on hydroelectric energy . The distances between urban electricity-consuming populations and sources of hydroelectric power are great and the FARC considers many of these parts of the country to be under their control. Sabotage of power infrastructure projects is common and presents particular challenges for a country that is already struggling to keep up with its economy's growing demand for power.
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Colombia's mining and energy planning unit has released an ambitious 2013-2027 electricity strategy aimed at boosting power sector capacity. The plan which aligns with government efforts to encourage investment in the energy sector in order to meet growing demand for electricity is a positive step for the sector and accords with our broadly positive view of the Colombian market. However the sector received a blow in August on the back of the news that the government's planned sale of its stake in electricity provider Isagen which had been one of the cornerstones of its broader plans to stoke investment in the country has been delayed by up to a year. The setback underlines the challenges that Colombia will face in the years ahead as it attempts to modernise its energy infrastructure and diversify the sector.
Hydroelectric power continues to contribute to 75% of total consumption in Colombia despite the inherent problems associated with this source of energy such as acute supply shortfalls during periods of low rainfall as well as environmental concerns. The majority of energy projects currently under way in the country use hydroelectricity including the Sogomosa Dam in Santander and Ituango Dam in Antioquia. Without greater...
The Colombia Power Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and independent forecasts covering electricity generation (coal gas oil nuclear hydro and non-hydro renewables) electricity consumption trade transmission and distribution losses and electricity generating capacity.
The Colombia Power Report also analyses the impact of regulatory changes recent developments and the background macroeconomic outlook and features competitive landscapes comparing national and multinational operators by sales market share investments projects partners and expansion strategies.
Key Benefits
* Use BMI's independent industry forecasts for Colombia to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic planning in the power market.
* Target business opportunities and risks Colombia's power sector through our reviews of latest power industry trends regulatory changes and major deals projects and investments in Colombia
* Assess the activities strategy and market position of your competitors partners and clients via our Competitive Landscape analysis.
Coverage
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts views and trend analysis covering power markets regulatory changes major investments projects and company developments.
Industry SWOT Analysis
Analysis of the major Strengths Weaknesses Opportunities and Threats within the power sector and within the broader political economic and business environment.
Regional Overview
The Regional Overview provides a comparative context from within which one can assess the relative profitability of the power industry in a given country incorporating BMI's country risk macro forecasts into our regional analysis. They also detail any relevant issues or events that might cause market fluctuations as well as evaluate the impact of existing power infrastructure and fresh investments on the regional market.
BMI Industry Forecasts
The Industry Forecasts provide historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for electricity generation (TWh) and electricity generating capacity (MW) for each individual power segment present in the country. These forecasts are in turn supported by explicit assumptions in conjunction with analysis of the key risks to the main forecast. These in turn are broken down into:
Electricity Generation forecasts for Thermal Coal Gas Oil Nuclear Hydro and Non-Hydro Renewables. For this section we provide information on electricity generation (TWh) % growth year-on-year KWh per capita and the % of total electricity generation. The thermal fuels (coal gas and oil) also have figures for their % of total thermal electricity generation.
Electricity Generating Capacity offers forecasts for the potential net capacity and net capacity growth % change year-on-year for the whole power industry. It also includes individual forecasts for capacity (MW) capacity growth % change year-on-year and % of total capacity for Thermal Nuclear Hydro and Non-Hydro Renewables.
The section also includes historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for:
Electricity Consumption encompassing information on net consumption (TWh) net consumption growth % change year-on-year and net consumption per capita (KWh).
Transmission And Distribution Losses comprising predictions on Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses (TWh) and Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses % of Output.
Electricity Trade offering historical figures for imports and exports and forecasts for net imports (TWh).
Market Overview
This section provides an overview of the industry landscape and key players; assessment of the business operating environment and the latest regulatory developments.
Risk/Reward Rankings
BMI's Power Risk/reward Rankings provide fully comparable rankings aimed at investors (power companies services companies and equity investors) in the regional power market. The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of various industry economic and demographic data points and is part of BMI's integrated Country Risk-Industry Rankings products.
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