(MENAFNEditorial)
We expect growth in the Indian power sector to accelerate in 2015 on the back of positive economic and political momentum. Our long-term outlook for the sector is similarly positive as we believe that several fundamental drivers of growth for the sector are beginning to align in India's favour.
We forecast that electricity generation in India will grow by 5.6% in 2015 faster than 5.2% growth that we estimate the sector will experience in 2014. Our 2015 forecast can be attributed to the strengthening economic outlook and the reforms that Modi has started to initiate in the sector.
Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/941496_india_power_report_q1_2015.aspx?afid=101
We have maintained our long-term forecasts for the Indian power sector and forecast electricity generation to grow at an average of 5.7% per annum between 2015 and 2023. The outlook for the sector is extremely positive and we believe that several fundamental drivers of growth are beginning to align in India's favour.
Key Trends And Developments
* The victory of Narendra Modi in the 2014 elections is positive for the sector as he is likely to introduce reforms to the power sector that focus on reducing red tape for new projects and improving fuel supply.
* Renewable energy is growing increasingly bankable and many Indian utilities and companies are investing in the sector.
* On August 25 India's Supreme Court ruled that all 218 coal mining licences awarded by the government between 1993 and 2010 were illegal. While only 30 out of the 218 coal mining blocks have been developed an outright cancellation of these mining operations will deal a hard blow to the power sector.
The India Power Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and independent forecasts covering electricity generation (coal gas oil nuclear hydro and non-hydro renewables) electricity consumption trade transmission and distribution losses and electricity generating capacity.
The India Power Report also analyses the impact of regulatory changes recent developments and the background macroeconomic outlook and features competitive landscapes comparing national and multinational operators by sales market share investments projects partners and expansion strategies.
Key Benefits
* Use BMI's independent industry forecasts for India to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic planning in the power market.
* Target business opportunities and risks India's power sector through our reviews of latest power industry trends regulatory changes and major deals projects and investments in India
* Assess the activities strategy and market position of your competitors partners and clients via our Competitive Landscape analysis.
Coverage
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts views and trend analysis covering power markets regulatory changes major investments projects and company developments.
Industry SWOT Analysis
Analysis of the major Strengths Weaknesses Opportunities and Threats within the power sector and within the broader political economic and business environment.
Regional Overview
The Regional Overview provides a comparative context from within which one can assess the relative profitability of the power industry in a given country incorporating BMI's country risk macro forecasts into our regional analysis. They also detail any relevant issues or events that might cause market fluctuations as well as evaluate the impact of existing power infrastructure and fresh investments on the regional market.
BMI Industry Forecasts
The Industry Forecasts provide historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for electricity generation (TWh) and electricity generating capacity (MW) for each individual power segment present in the country. These forecasts are in turn supported by explicit assumptions in conjunction with analysis of the key risks to the main forecast. These in turn are broken down into:
Electricity Generation forecasts for Thermal Coal Gas Oil Nuclear Hydro and Non-Hydro Renewables. For this section we provide information on electricity generation (TWh) % growth year-on-year KWh per capita and the % of total electricity generation. The thermal fuels (coal gas and oil) also have figures for their % of total thermal electricity generation.
Electricity Generating Capacity offers forecasts for the potential net capacity and net capacity growth % change year-on-year for the whole power industry. It also includes individual forecasts for capacity (MW) capacity growth % change year-on-year and % of total capacity for Thermal Nuclear Hydro and Non-Hydro Renewables.
The section also includes historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for:
Electricity Consumption encompassing information on net consumption (TWh) net consumption growth % change year-on-year and net consumption per capita (KWh).
Transmission And Distribution Losses comprising predictions on Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses (TWh) and Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses % of Output.
Electricity Trade offering historical figures for imports and exports and forecasts for net imports (TWh).
Market Overview
This section provides an overview of the industry landscape and key players; assessment of the business operating environment and the latest regulatory developments.
Risk/Reward Rankings
BMI's Power Risk/reward Rankings provide fully comparable rankings aimed at investors (power companies services companies and equity investors) in the regional power market. The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of various industry economic and demographic data points and is part of BMI's integrated Country Risk-Industry Rankings products.
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