(MENAFNEditorial)
We currently forecast an average of 3.43.3% real growth in Central America's construction industry value for 20145 (excluding Panama) which is considerably higher than our regional average estimate for 2014 at 0.2% (excluding Panama). We expect Nicaragua's construction industry to return to positive in 2015 while Panama's will contract as the completion of the Canal expansion nears its end.
We see high risks small scale and limited growth opportunities across the region as a whole. A crucial factor underpinning our forecasts for infrastructure investments in future years is political and security risk. This is a particular concern in El Salvador Honduras and Guatemala where high levels of crime homicide violence and insecurity exacerbate operational risks for companies willing to invest in those countries. As such we believe that local and regional companies (especially Mexican and Brazilian) as well as Chinese players which have a stronger appetite for risk are best placed to benefit from the opportunities on offer in the region. In this context we also highlight Spanish companies which have an established presence in the region.
Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/938360_central_america_infrastructure_report_q1_2015.aspx?afid=101
Despite the small size of their construction industries Central American countries present a wide range of small-scale opportunities (albeit the inter-oceanic canal projects) as the region aims to bridge its infrastructure gap. However these markets are faced by strong challenges in the form of deep-run corruption high levels of inequality and unsophisticated institutions.
* Public-Private Partnerships: A number of countries in the region are pursuing public-private partnerships (PPPs) to develop infrastructure. For example Guatemala - which established a PPP agency in November 2011 - is hoping to launch its first concession for Line 1 of the Guatemala City passenger railway in Q115. In April 2013 Honduras' public-private promotion agency Coalianza released the tender for construction and operation of...
The Central America Infrastructure Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and forecasts covering public procurement and spending on all major infrastructure and construction projects including transportation and logistics by land sea and air; power plants and utilities and commercial construction and property development. The report analyses the impact of regulatory changes and the macroeconomic outlook and features competitive intelligence on contractors and suppliers.
BMI's Central America Infrastructure Report provides industry professionals and strategists sector analysts investors trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Panamanian Guatemalan Nicaraguan Salvadoran Costa Rican Belizean Honduran infrastructure and construction industry.
Key Benefits
* Benchmark BMI's independent infrastructure industry forecasts for Panama Guatemala Nicaragua El Salvador Costa Rica Belize Honduras to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Panamanian Guatemalan Nicaraguan Salvadoran Costa Rican Belizean Honduran infrastructure market.
* Target business opportunities and risks in the Panamanian Guatemalan Nicaraguan Salvadoran Costa Rican Belizean Honduran infrastructure sector through our reviews of latest industry trends regulatory changes and major deals projects and investments in Panama Guatemala Nicaragua El Salvador Costa Rica Belize Honduras.
* Assess the activities strategy and market position of your competitors partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs KPIs and latest activity).
Coverage
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts views and trend analysis covering infrastructure and construction regulatory changes major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.
These are broken down into Construction (social commercial and residential) Transport (roads railways ports airports etc) and Energy & Utilities (powerplants renewable projects pipelines and so on).
Industry Trends
Analysis of latest projects across the infrastructure sector (covering the transport utilities and commercial construction sub-sectors) - including:
Market Overview:Analysis of the key elements driving developments including evaluations of current capacity and future requirements.
Building Materials Overview
The building materials overview provides industry trend analysis on the global and regional demands for building materials and the impact of this on the emerging and developed markets.
Business Environment Rankings
BMI's Infrastructure Business Environment Rankings provide a country-comparative Risk-Reward Rankings index aimed at investors (construction companies suppliers and partners) in the regional infrastructure market.
The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of over 40 industry economic and demographic data point.
Industry SWOT Analysis
Analysis of the major Strengths Weaknesses Opportunities and Threats within the infrastructure and construction sectors and within the broader political economic and business environment.
BMI Industry & Economic Forecasts
Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry and economic indicators supported by explicit assumptions plus analysis of key risks to the main forecast. Indicators include:
Construction: Industry value (US$bn); contribution to GDP (%); employment (`000); real growth (%).
Infrastructure: Value (US$bn); contribution to construction industry (%); real growth (%) of transport infrastructure (broken down by railways airports roads and bridges ports and harbours) and energy and utilities (broken down by power plants and transmission grids oil and gas pipelines and water infrastructure).
Economy: Economic growth (%); nominal GDP (US$bn); unemployment (%); interest rates (%); exchange rate (against US$).
Company Profiles
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