(MENAFNEditorial)
At present Kazakhstan and the other four Central Asia countries Turkmenistan Tajikistan Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan have limited defence budgets yet numerous requirements. While BMI expects these budgets to increase incrementally over the coming years BMI also expects the budgetary and underdevelopment challenges to limit those increases considerably. These countries face numerous internal and external security challenges including border disputes criminality and domestic and transnational terrorism.
BMI expects Kazakhstan's defence spending to have reached USD2.4bn by the end of 2014 and USD2.6bn by the end of 2015. While Kazakhstan's domestic defence industries remain largely dependent on the old Soviet defence industrial complex Kazakhstan has seen some interesting developments during the first half of 2014. Several contracts have been signed with western defence companies and with companies from emerging economies. BMI expects these contracts to add some new technologies to Kazakhstan's industrial base in the coming years notably in the aerospace sector.
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Scores in BMI's Security Risk Index have been lowered slightly for some of the countries. Risk in Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan remains the lowest while Uzbekistan Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan are at higher risk in terms of security. Risks are expected to increase along with emerging instability in Afghanistan as NATO forces are withdrawn in 2015.
Finally we note internal clan rivalries coming to the fore in Uzbek politics as a result of parliamentary and regional elections at the end of 2014 and the upcoming presidential elections in the first half of 2015. BMI thinks there is a real need for the feuding between Karimov and his Head of the National Security Service Rustam Inoyatov to be resolved. Otherwise it may come at a cost to border security with Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan and particularly in view of the increasing frequency of cross border fire between Tajik...
The Kazakhstan and Central Asia Defence & Security Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent forecasts for national and international security the defence industry military expenditure employment in arms production and arms imports and exports as well as examining industry trends and prospects national and multinational arms producers and the regulatory environment.
BMI's Kazakhstan and Central Asia Defence & Security Report provides professionals consultancies government departments regulatory bodies and researchers with independent forecasts and regional competitive intelligence on the Kazakhstani Uzbekistani Turkmen Kyrgyzstani Tajikistani defence and security industry.
Key Benefits
* Benchmark BMI's independent defence and security industry forecasts on Kazakhstan Uzbekistan Turkmenistan Kyrgyzstan Tajikistan to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and strategic business planning in the Kazakhstani Uzbekistani Turkmen Kyrgyzstani Tajikistani defence and security market.
* Target business opportunities and risks in the Asia defence and security sector through reviews of latest industry trends regulatory changes and major deals projects and investments in Asia.
* Assess the activities strategy and market position of your competitors partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. KPIs and latest activity).
Coverage
Global and Regional Political Outlooks
A strategic overview of the world's major political risks identifying countries facing leadership successions and nations at risk of upheaval inter-state conflict or separatism and insurgencies plus a summary of the world's 'wild card' low-probability high-impact risks.
SWOT Analysis
Snapshot evaluation of the major issues affecting the defence and security sectors economy and politics with issues subdivided into 'Strengths' 'Weaknesses' 'Opportunities' and 'Threats'.
Political Risk Assessment
Drawing on BMI's heritage of more than 25 years of Country Risk analysis this comprehensively evaluates the key risks to domestic politics and foreign relations focusing on issues most likely to affect either domestic security or the defence sector.
Security Risk Analysis
BMI's proprietary Security Risk Rankings provide a reliable - and country comparable - guide to conflict terrorism and criminal risk backed up by our analyst's latest assessment of each component. Furthermore drawing on our country risk expertise we assess the state's vulnerability to a serious - or prolonged - terrorist campaign.
Armed Forces Spending/Expenditure
The reports contain a detailed breakdown of areas of expenditure by the armed forces these include spending on international deployments WMDs and missile defence systems as well as individual breakdowns of the cost-per-soldier.
Domestic Security Overview
The domestic security overview lists the various potential internal security threats facing a country ranging from internal security issues such as terrorism cyber terrorism crime and drugs to external security issues including general defence procedures and potential threats from specific countries.
BMI Industry Forecast Scenario
Historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for key industry indicators supported by explicit assumptions plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.
Budgets & Expenditure: Defence expenditure (local currency and US$bn); defence expenditure (% of total budget); defence expenditure (% of GDP); defence expenditure per capita US$; defence budget (local currency and US$bn).
Employment: Employment in arms production (`000s); employment in arms production (% of labour force).
Macroeconomic: BMI's forecasts and analysis of all headline macroeconomic indicators including real GDP growth inflation fiscal balance trade balance current account and external debt.
Company Profiles
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