"Brazil Power Report Q1 2015" Published


(MENAFNEditorial)

Brazil's power sector continues to offer significant investment opportunities due to its unmatched size government's commitment to power capacity expansion and large prospective in renewables and natural gas-fired thermal sectors. However the country's potential is hindered by its continued depend ence on unreliable hydroelectricity weak infrastructure and regulatory interjections. In addition Brazil's darkening macroeconomic trajectory has weighed heavily on our forecast for long-term power consumptio n with a possible increase in retail electricity prices in 2015 posing additional downside risk . 

Brazil's power sector will continue to grow in the coming years - driven by government commitment to power supply expansion power mix diversification needs and vast untapped potential for renewables and natural-gas fired power generation. We expect total power generation in the country to grow by an annual average rate of 2.09% over our 10-year forecast period rising from 535TWh in 2014 to 698TWh in 2023. Power generating capacity will also grow steadily expanding by 3.64% annually on average over the same period primarily as a result of a strong pipeline of hydropower and wind projects.

Full Report Details at
 - http://www.fastmr.com/prod/912262_brazil_power_report_q1_2015.aspx?afid=101

Government's power auctions in 2014 have secured contracts for vast capacity additions in the coming years and we expect investor interest to remain strong in 2015. Nevertheless we have downwardly revised our forecast for power consumption in the country over the next decade due to a deterioration of Brazil's macroeconomic perspective. We now forecast total power consumption to grow by annual average rate of 2.31% (it was 3.92% last quarter) between 2014 and 2023 expanding from 512TWh to 639TWh (a 15.6% decrease compared to our last forecast for 2023).

 Key Trends And Developments 

 *  Hydropower will remain the dominant source of electricity in Brazil over the coming decade. The government plans to add more than 30GW between...

The Brazil Power Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and independent forecasts covering electricity generation (coal gas oil nuclear hydro and non-hydro renewables) electricity consumption trade transmission and distribution losses and electricity generating capacity.

The Brazil Power Report also analyses the impact of regulatory changes recent developments and the background macroeconomic outlook and features competitive landscapes comparing national and multinational operators by sales market share investments projects partners and expansion strategies.

Key Benefits

 * Use BMI's independent industry forecasts for Brazil to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic planning in the power market.
 * Target business opportunities and risks Brazil's power sector through our reviews of latest power industry trends regulatory changes and major deals projects and investments in Brazil
 * Assess the activities strategy and market position of your competitors partners and clients via our Competitive Landscape analysis.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts views and trend analysis covering power markets regulatory changes major investments projects and company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths Weaknesses Opportunities and Threats within the power sector and within the broader political economic and business environment.

Regional Overview

The Regional Overview provides a comparative context from within which one can assess the relative profitability of the power industry in a given country incorporating BMI's country risk macro forecasts into our regional analysis. They also detail any relevant issues or events that might cause market fluctuations as well as evaluate the impact of existing power infrastructure and fresh investments on the regional market.

BMI Industry Forecasts

The Industry Forecasts provide historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for electricity generation (TWh) and electricity generating capacity (MW) for each individual power segment present in the country. These forecasts are in turn supported by explicit assumptions in conjunction with analysis of the key risks to the main forecast. These in turn are broken down into:

Electricity Generation forecasts for Thermal Coal Gas Oil Nuclear Hydro and Non-Hydro Renewables. For this section we provide information on electricity generation (TWh) % growth year-on-year KWh per capita and the % of total electricity generation. The thermal fuels (coal gas and oil) also have figures for their % of total thermal electricity generation.

Electricity Generating Capacity offers forecasts for the potential net capacity and net capacity growth % change year-on-year for the whole power industry. It also includes individual forecasts for capacity (MW) capacity growth % change year-on-year and % of total capacity for Thermal Nuclear Hydro and Non-Hydro Renewables.

The section also includes historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for:

Electricity Consumption encompassing information on net consumption (TWh) net consumption growth % change year-on-year and net consumption per capita (KWh).

Transmission And Distribution Losses comprising predictions on Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses (TWh) and Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses % of Output.

Electricity Trade offering historical figures for imports and exports and forecasts for net imports (TWh).

Market Overview

This section provides an overview of the industry landscape and key players; assessment of the business operating environment and the latest regulatory developments.

Risk/Reward Rankings

BMI's Power Risk/reward Rankings provide fully comparable rankings aimed at investors (power companies services companies and equity investors) in the regional power market. The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of various industry economic and demographic data points and is part of BMI's integrated Country Risk-Industry Rankings products.

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