(MENAFNEditorial)
Algeria focuses on low added-value production relying on commodity chemicals that are highly price-responsive to market fluctuations and easily undermined by capacity elsewhere in the world.
The industry is far from competing on equal terms with European petrochemicals producers with regard to product diversification. As such it will be vulnerable to market fluctuations in the narrow range of products it produces although the effects on margins should be cushioned by the local availability of competitively priced feedstock.
Key BMI Forecasts
* Algeria's petrochemicals market is likely to witness a steady improvement in growth in 2015. This is driven mainly by domestic demand and public investment activity.
* Growth in hydrocarbons and a significant rise in polymer output in the near-to-medium term are not expected.
* Algeria's manufacturing petrochemicals industry is unlikely to grow.
Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/904236_algeria_petrochemicals_report_q1_2015.aspx?afid=101
Recent Developments
* The plans for the new Arzew petrochemicals complex have been abandoned.
The deal between Sonatrach and Total for a new petrochemicals complex has failed. This means that Algeria is unlikely to capitalise on its gas reserves to generate downstream growth.
Report Table of Contents:
BMI Industry View
SWOT
Political
Economic
Business Environment
Industry Forecast
Consumption
Production
Table: Arzew Complex Planned Capacities ('000 tonnes)
Table: Algeria's Petrochemicals Sector 2011-2018 ('000tpa unless otherwise stated)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Table: Algeria - Economic Activity
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
MEA Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Ratings
Table: MEA Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Ratings Q314
Algeria Petrochemicals Risk Reward Ratings
Market Overview
Upstream
Chemicals and Petrochemicals
Table: Algeria Cracker Capacity 2011-2018 ('000 tpa)
Industry Trends And Developments
Upstream
Table: Petrochemicals Capacity At The Planned Arzew Complex
Olefins & Polyolefins
Methanol
Fertiliser
Regulation
Company Profile
Sonatrach
Regional Overview
Middle East And Africa Overview
Looking To Asia
Diversification The Long-Term Focus
African Growth Focused In The North
Global Industry Overview
Table: Top 10 Ethylene Producers 2013
Latin America: The Main Loser In US Expansion Drive
Asia: New Growth Markets Fuel Global Demand
Challenges For The Arabian Gulf
Russia And CIS: Coming To The Fore
Gasoline
Table: BMI Gasoline Price Forecast 2012-2018
Weak Q114 For Gasoline
Europe And The US: Competitive Market To Limit Summer Gains
Asia: Market Rebalancing To Better Support Market
Risks To Outlook
Diesel
Table: BMI Crude Oil And Diesel Price Forecast (USD/bbl)
New York's One-Off Heat Up
NY: Short-Term Diesel Price Support Expected
Rotterdam: Green Policies Drive Diesel Forward
Singapore: Diesel Support With Power Risks
Risks To Outlook
Jet Fuel
Table: BMI Crude Oil & Jet Fuel Price Forecast USD/bbl
Better Outlook Tames Price Fall
Table: Total Air Freight And Passenger Volume Growth
Risks To Outlook
Bunker fuel
Table: BMI Crude Oil & Bunker Fuel Price Forecast (USD/bbl)
The Storm Clears For Shipping
(Slightly) Better Times For Bunker Prices
Long-Term Threats Linger
Pressing Rotterdam & New York Harder
Risks To Outlook
Demographic Forecast
Table: Algeria's Population By Age Group 1990-2020 ('000)
Table: Algeria's Population By Age Group 1990-2020 (% of total)
Table: Algeria's Key Population Ratios 1990-2020
Table: Algeria's Rural And Urban Population 1990-2020
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Rating Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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