(MENAFNEditorial)
We maintain our bright outlook for Mexico's power sector supported by the country's positive macroeconomic trajectory and the lib eralisation of the Mexican power and hydrocarbon markets . Generation rose by 3.6 % in 201 4 and will continue to expand by an annual average of 3.3% until 2023 driven b y a robust annual average power consumption growth of 3.8% along our forecast period . Moreover t he increase in private and foreign investmen t due to the reforms will support the expansion in the generation and transmission segments . W e expect natural gas-fired capacity to expand its already dominant position in the Mexican power mix fuelled by cheap feedstock import s from the US and increasing dome stic supply . We expect r enewables and hydropower to also grow health ily along the next decade although the power mix will remain heavily dependent on thermal generation.
Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/900735_mexico_power_report_q1_2015.aspx?afid=101
Key Trends And Developments
* In July the senate passed the secondary legislation needed to translate the proposed energy reforms into a workable framework and set of legal processes with a few minor amendments. This allows the government to proceed with the implementation of the energy reform that will open the generation and transmission segments of Mexico's power market to private investments - in an effort to reduce Mexico's electricity prices and enable the country to meet growing power demand. .
* The passage of the reform sets the stage for the introduction of independent institutions that will help increase and regulate competition a fundamental condition to attract foreign investment. Although the government will retain control of electricity sector planning and management of the national grid the Comisión Reguladora de Energía (CRE) will regulate the power sector while the national energy control centre (Cenace) which is currently part of Comisión Federal...
The Mexico Power Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and independent forecasts covering electricity generation (coal gas oil nuclear hydro and non-hydro renewables) electricity consumption trade transmission and distribution losses and electricity generating capacity.
The Mexico Power Report also analyses the impact of regulatory changes recent developments and the background macroeconomic outlook and features competitive landscapes comparing national and multinational operators by sales market share investments projects partners and expansion strategies.
Key Benefits
* Use BMI's independent industry forecasts for Mexico to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic planning in the power market.
* Target business opportunities and risks Mexico's power sector through our reviews of latest power industry trends regulatory changes and major deals projects and investments in Mexico
* Assess the activities strategy and market position of your competitors partners and clients via our Competitive Landscape analysis.
Coverage
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts views and trend analysis covering power markets regulatory changes major investments projects and company developments.
Industry SWOT Analysis
Analysis of the major Strengths Weaknesses Opportunities and Threats within the power sector and within the broader political economic and business environment.
Regional Overview
The Regional Overview provides a comparative context from within which one can assess the relative profitability of the power industry in a given country incorporating BMI's country risk macro forecasts into our regional analysis. They also detail any relevant issues or events that might cause market fluctuations as well as evaluate the impact of existing power infrastructure and fresh investments on the regional market.
BMI Industry Forecasts
The Industry Forecasts provide historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for electricity generation (TWh) and electricity generating capacity (MW) for each individual power segment present in the country. These forecasts are in turn supported by explicit assumptions in conjunction with analysis of the key risks to the main forecast. These in turn are broken down into:
Electricity Generation forecasts for Thermal Coal Gas Oil Nuclear Hydro and Non-Hydro Renewables. For this section we provide information on electricity generation (TWh) % growth year-on-year KWh per capita and the % of total electricity generation. The thermal fuels (coal gas and oil) also have figures for their % of total thermal electricity generation.
Electricity Generating Capacity offers forecasts for the potential net capacity and net capacity growth % change year-on-year for the whole power industry. It also includes individual forecasts for capacity (MW) capacity growth % change year-on-year and % of total capacity for Thermal Nuclear Hydro and Non-Hydro Renewables.
The section also includes historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for:
Electricity Consumption encompassing information on net consumption (TWh) net consumption growth % change year-on-year and net consumption per capita (KWh).
Transmission And Distribution Losses comprising predictions on Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses (TWh) and Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses % of Output.
Electricity Trade offering historical figures for imports and exports and forecasts for net imports (TWh).
Market Overview
This section provides an overview of the industry landscape and key players; assessment of the business operating environment and the latest regulatory developments.
Risk/Reward Rankings
BMI's Power Risk/reward Rankings provide fully comparable rankings aimed at investors (power companies services companies and equity investors) in the regional power market. The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of various industry economic and demographic data points and is part of BMI's integrated Country Risk-Industry Rankings products.
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