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A record high close and 9-year low in realized volatility for US equity markets this past week is drawing skepticism rather than confidence. And important event risk ahead may settle the score.
US Dollar Forecast– Dollar’s Next Leg: A rally Charged By Risk or Retreat on Rates
The Dollar’s performance this past week was uneven but ultimately positive for the Dow Jones FXCM Dollar Index (ticker = USDollar).
British Pound Forecast - Bearish GBP/USD Outlook Favored on Dovish BoE- U.K. CPI in Focus
The Bank of England (BoE) Minutes are widely expected to show another 7-2 split within the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) as the majority retains a wait-and-see approach and the policy meeting minutes may do little to increase the appeal of the British Pound as the central bank curbs its growth and inflation forecast.
Swiss Franc Forecast – Swiss Franc Breach of 1.20 Against Euro Unlikely to See Follow-Through
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The Swiss Franc is unlikely to find lasting momentum if the outcome of a pivotal referendum on SNB gold policy pushes EURCHF below the central bank’s 1.20 floor.
Australian Dollar Forecast – AUD Scope For A Recovery Limited By Diminished Carry Appeal
The Aussie’s good fortunes over the past week may be vulnerable to shifting as elevated volatility levels stand to detract from its yield appeal.
Gold Forecast -Gold Topside Targets Favored on Dovish FOMC Minutes- 1170 Support
Gold prices are higher this week with the yellow metal rallying 1.11% to trade at $1189 ahead of the New York close on Friday.
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