Weekly Trading Forecast: FX Traders Prepare for Heavy Volatility on FOMC, GDP and ECB Stimulus


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This past week's calm optimism was likely an interlude for a bigger shift in market conditions. With a FOMC decision US GDP ECB Stress test and much more ahead; stability will be put to the test.

US Dollar Forecast- Dollar and Market Confidence Ride on FOMC Decision

The US Dollar managed to muscle out a modest advance this past week despite favorable winds for investor sentiment (through benchmarks like S&P 500 and volatility indexes) as well as a persistent dovishness in rate forecasts.

Japanese Yen Forecast – USD/JPY to Eye Fresh Highs on Less-Dovish FOMC More BOJ Easing

The fundamental outlook for USD/JPY remains bullish as Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) moves away from its easing cycle but the dollar-yen may struggle to press fresh highs next week should the Bank of Japan (BoJ) refrain from further expanding its asset-purchase program.

New Zealand Dollar Forecast - New Zealand Dollar at Risk on Dovish RBNZ Status-Quo FOMC

The New Zealand Dollar may fall if the RBNZ withdraws its promise of future rate hikes while a status-quo FOMC statement sees Fed tightening bets rebuild.

Australian Dollar Forecast – AUD Faces A Potential “Breakout” On US Heavy Event Risk

The Aussie may remain under pressure over the coming week as elevated volatility caps carry demand while US-centric event risk offers potential “breakout” catalysts.

Gold Forecast - Gold Losses to Accelerate on Less Dovish FOMC- Support Break Eyes 1206

Gold prices are softer this week with the precious metal off by 0.55% to trade at $1231 ahead of the New York close on Friday.

Weekly Trading Forecast: FX Traders Prepare for Heavy Volatility on FOMC GDP and ECB Stimulus

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