(MENAFN- Saudi Press Agency) Germany's leading economic forecasters slashed their
growth forecasts for the nation on Thursday after a sharp slump in
demand from the eurozone and a series of global crises resulted in
the biggest fall in exports in more than five years, according to dpa.
The four think tanks scaled back their German growth forecasts for
this year to 1.3 per cent this year, saying they expected the
nation's economy to stagnate during the three months ended September.
Growth should slow to 1.2 per cent in 2015, they said.
The projections were sharply lower than the 1.9 per cent the
institutes predicted for this year and the 2 per cent they forecast
for next year in their last report handed to the government six
months ago.
'Economic growth in Germany has cooled significantly,' the institutes
said, calling on Chancellor Angela Merkel's government to step up
public spending to spur growth and investment.
'The most important task for economic policy ... is to boost growth
and create the right conditions for investment,' they said, adding
that despite the current tough fiscal environment the government had
room to stimulate the economy.
The downward revisions to growth are likely to result in Merkel's
government announcing next week that it has also lowered its economic
projections.
The release of the institutes' report followed the publication also
on Thursday by the Federal Statistics Office of figures showing
exports from Europe's biggest economy plunged 5.8 per cent in August
from July, when they rose 4.8 per cent.
The August fall in exports represented the sharpest drop since
January 2009, when the global financial crisis hit Germany's
industrial sector and paved the way for a recession in the country.
Analysts surveyed by dpa-AFX had predicted a 4-per-cent decline for
the month.
The data adds to the gloomy picture that has emerged of the German
economy this week with figures also showing factory orders and
production chalking up their biggest falls since early 2009.
Unemployment rose for a second consecutive month in September. In
their latest report, the institutes predict unemployment will creep
up to 6.8 per cent next year from 6.7 per cent this year.
Monthly imports were down by a surprise 1.3 per cent in August from a
1.4-per-cent slump in July, the statistics office said.
The seasonally adjusted trade balance dropped to 17.5 billion euros
(22.3 billion dollars) from 22.2 billion euros in July.
The statistics office pointed to late school holidays in parts of the
country as having contributed to the weaker trade figures.
But this week's batch of downbeat numbers have also raised concerns
among analysts that the German economy is failing to rebound after
contracting by 0.2 per cent quarter-on-quarter in the three months to
June.
'The economic engine is hardly back up to speed,' said the
institutes, which included the Berlin-based DIW, Munich's Ifo,
Essen's RWI, and the Halle research group in eastern Germany.
The International Monetary Fund warned this week that both Germany
and the eurozone could be teetering on the edge of a new recession
after growth in the 18-member currency bloc ground to a halt in the
second quarter.
The German economy has also suffered from a drop in demand from key
emerging economies, with growth in China slowing just as a series of
geopolitical tensions have shaken business confidence in Europe.
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