USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Probing Below 108.00 Figure


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Talking Points:

  • USD/JPY Technical Strategy: Flat
  • Support: 107.89 106.54 105.45
  • Resistance: 110.19 110.65 111.54

The US Dollar dipped to a three-week low against the Japanese Yen but prices failed to break through familiar range support. A daily close below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at 107.89 exposes the 38.2% level at 106.54. Alternatively a turn above the 110.08-19 area marked by the 23.6% Fib expansion and the October 1 high opens the door for a challenge of the August 15 2008 top at 110.65.

Risk/reward considerations argue against entering short with prices in close proximity to support. On the other hand the absence of a defined bullish reversal signal suggests taking up the long side is premature. We will remain flat for now waiting for a more actionable opportunity to present itself.

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USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Probing Below 108.00 Figure

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by Ilya Spivak Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com


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