Quotes: MENA   Enter Symbol: NewsLetter: Search: advanced

Qatar - Moody's sees oil at $90 by 2020  Join our daily free Newsletter

MENAFN - The Peninsula - 05/03/2014
No. of Ratings : 0
Add to Mixx!



(MENAFN - The Peninsula) Oil price scenario for the period until 2020 anticipates a gentle decline to 90 a barrel. Given the budgetary pressures are already developing among GCC oil exporters, such a protracted decline would have negative credit implications for some countries of the GCC, Moody's stated yesterday



"In such a scenario, sovereign credit quality in the GCC would be affected to varying degrees, with Bahrain and Oman most vulnerable to a potential downward adjustment of the sovereign ratings given their high fiscal break-even prices and declining oil production. The UAE and Saudi Arabia would, despite their large non-oil sectors relative to GCC peers, face reduced fiscal flexibility. Kuwait and Qatar have the most headroom and fiscal flexibility to withstand a protracted oil price decline", the agency noted



The Moody's said Saudi Arabia and UAE would experience particularly significant declines in growth. This partly reflects the two countries' currency pegs to the US dollar, which impedes their ability to cut interest rates in response to reduced demand.



Moody's said despite considerable hydrocarbon reserves, the region's oil wealth is finite. In an adverse scenario of a protracted decline in oil prices to 90 per barrel, the GCC government's ability to raise revenue by increasing production would be limited, especially when taking into account the role of the Opec as a swing producer



Given the low levels of oil production per capita in Saudi Arabia, Oman and Bahrain relative to other GCC countries, the three respective governments would face having to extend social benefits to a greater number of nationals with more limited resources



"The fiscal response to a sustained oil price decline would include a combination of asset sales, debt financing, expenditure cuts and revenue enhancement measures"" GCC governments would likely draw on their banking system deposits or issue domestic debt, followed by external debt. Qatar, Bahrain and the UAE, which already have a sovereign yields curve, would be better positioned to finance borrowing needs from external sources"



Qatar and Kuwait are relatively insulated as their breakeven oil prices have remained below 60, and not even Moody's stress scenarios anticipate a drop in oil prices to below the level.



"However, Qatar draws its revenue from natural gas exports and, given the gradual decoupling of LNG from oil prices and the large new gas supply expected in the coming years, Qatar's fiscal space could diminish faster than that of Kuwait", Moody's note

 


The Peninsula




  MENA News Headlines
 Mar 31 2015 - US Crude Recovery May Be Limited, Natural Gas Braces For Storage DataDailyFX
(MENAFN - DailyFX) Gold slumped on Wednesday as its pricing currency the USD gained on the back of the December FOMCdecision. The removal of the 'considerable time' phrase from the policy statement, ...

 Mar 31 2015 - A noble gesture by UAE's Sheikh Hamdan: paperEmirates News Agency (WAM)
(MENAFN - Emirates News Agency (WAM)) The decision of H.H. Sheikh Hamdan bin Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum, Crown Prince of Dubai and Chairman of Dubai Executive Council to donate his Dubai World ...

 Mar 31 2015 - Etihad Airways celebrates arrival of inaugural Alitalia flights from Venice and Milan to Abu DhabiEmirates News Agency (WAM)
(MENAFN - Emirates News Agency (WAM)) Etihad Airways, the national airline of the United Arab Emirates, joined celebrations at Abu Dhabi International Airport yesterday to welcome the arrival of its ...

 Mar 31 2015 - UAE's Ministry of Higher Education and Scientific Research joins local and federal scholarship authorities to activate National Scholarship DatabaseEmirates News Agency (WAM)
(MENAFN - Emirates News Agency (WAM)) On the instructions of Sheikh Hamdan bin Mubarak Al Nahyan, Minister of Higher Education and Scientific Research, to coordinate and unite efforts with all ...

 Mar 31 2015 - UAE's Assistant Under-Secretary for Protocol Affairs at MoFA attends reception at Bangladesh EmbassyEmirates News Agency (WAM)
(MENAFN - Emirates News Agency (WAM)) Shehab Ahmed Mohammed Al Fahim, Assistant Under-Secretary for Protocol Affairs in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, attended a reception last night hosted by ...

 Mar 31 2015 - UAE's Minister of Environment discusses cooperation with Ambassadors of Poland and EritreaEmirates News Agency (WAM)
(MENAFN - Emirates News Agency (WAM)) Dr. Rashid Ahmed bin Fahad, Minister of Environment and Water, has met with Adam Krzymowski, Poland's Ambassador to the UAE, and discussed ways to enhance ...

 Mar 31 2015 - UAE's DLD sponsors fifth cycle of Princess Haya Award for Special EducationEmirates News Agency (WAM)
(MENAFN - Emirates News Agency (WAM)) Dubai Land Department, DLD, has signed a sponsorship agreement with the Princess Haya Award for Special Education, PHASE, to host its fifth cycle due to be held ...

 Mar 31 2015 - Talented Emirati musicians perform for patients across the UAE to aid their recoveryEmirates News Agency (WAM)
(MENAFN - Emirates News Agency (WAM)) The Abu Dhabi Festival, in association with Mubadala, has brought the popular 'Music in Hospitals' initiative to healthcare facilities across the UAE for the ...

 Mar 31 2015 - UAE's FCA launches customs statistics service on smart phonesEmirates News Agency (WAM)
(MENAFN - Emirates News Agency (WAM)) The Federal Customs Authority yesterday launched a customs statistics service on its website and a smart phone application to respond to customers' enquiries on ...

 Mar 31 2015 - UAE remains dedicated to covering health needs of Syrian population affected by crisisEmirates News Agency (WAM)
(MENAFN - Emirates News Agency (WAM)) The UAE is dedicated to fulfilling the financial gap in the health sector of the Syrian refugee population in order to meet their basic humanitarian and health ...

more...


 






Google

Internatinal Property Show

 
 

Middle East North Africa - Financial Network

MENAFN News Market Data Countries Tools Section  
 

Middle East North Africa - Financial Network
Arabic MENAFN

Main News
News By Industry
News By Country

Islamic Finance News
Private Equity News

How-To Guides
Technology Section

Travel Section

Search News

Market Indices
Quotes & Charts

Global Indices
Arab Indices

Commodoties

Oil & Energy

Currencies Cross Rates
Currencies Updates
Currency Converter

USA Stocks
Arab Stocks
 

Algeria 
Bahrain 
Egypt 
Iraq
Jordan 
Kuwait 
Lebanon
Morocco 
Oman 
Palestine
Qatar 
Saudi Arabia 
Syria
Tunisia 
UAE 
Yemen

Weather
Economic Calendar
Financial Glossary


Financial Calculators

RSS Feeds [XML]

Corporate Monitor

Events

Real Estate
Submit Your Property

Arab Research
Buy a Research

Press Releases
Submit your PR

Join Newsletters


 
© 2014 menafn.com All Rights Reserved.  Terms of Service | Privacy Policy | Contact Us | Advertise | About MENAFN | Career Opportunities | Feedback | Help